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News — crowdsourcing

Superforecasting and Strategic Uncertainty

Sarah Leslie crowdsourcing futurecasting open innovation

It's approaching that time of year when experts in every field feel compelled to share their predictions for the coming year. Inboxes and newsfeeds swell with not only best wishes but articles on 'top ten trends' for 2017. Yet 2016 has been notable for the rise in the distrust of the' expert' view.  The worldview that ' there are no experts', which played out in well documented political events from Brexit to the recent US Presidential Election was, at least to some extent, fuelled by media focus on results gleaned from the ongoing 'Good Judgement Project', published in the 2015 bestseller 'Superforecasting - The Art and Science of Prediction' by behavioural scientists Phillip Tetlock & Dan...

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